Anytime TD Odds: We Checked 771 NFL Scorer Props
Anytime TD odds are the first prop most new bettors ever touch. Pick a guy, he scores, you get paid. Simple. That simplicity is exactly why the books charge you the most for it.
We pulled every anytime touchdown price from the first seven weeks of the NFL season. 106 games. Six major sportsbooks. 771 players priced at +300 or shorter, the realistic scorers people actually bet. Then we checked who found the end zone. When analysing our results, we kept a close eye on anytime TD odds among those 771 prices.
Two things jumped out. The scorer market is taxed harder than you think. And the price you take changes the math more than the player you pick. As always, how bettors approach anytime TD odds can have an impact on outcomes.
The Hit Rate Doesn’t Match the Price
Across those 771 props, the players who suited up scored 34% of the time (242 of 720). For those tracking anytime TD odds, the difference between scoring percentage and pricing was evident.
The average price across books implied 39%.
That five-point gap is the house’s cut, baked into the number. A standard spread at -110 carries a margin of about two points per side. The anytime TD market runs wider, and it does not matter which tier you shop in:
- Priced +100 or shorter: scored 51%, priced like 59%
- Priced +101 to +200: scored 35%, priced like 39%
- Priced +201 to +300: scored 24%, priced like 28%
Every tier came in under its price. The short favorites, the guys everyone loves on Sunday morning, carried the biggest gap of all. Remember, if you’re examining your anytime TD odds bets, it’s important to notice these price gaps.
Anytime TD Odds Change From Book to Book
Here’s the part you control. Not one of the 771 props had the same price at every book. When you compare anytime TD odds from different sportsbooks, the differences become obvious.
The median best price was +200. The median worst was +165. On a typical prop, the gap between the best and worst number was about $30 on a $100 bet. Same player. Same game. Same touchdown. However, with anytime TD odds, these pricing discrepancies can add up quickly.
No book owned the best price, either. Fanatics had it (or tied for it) on 38% of props, BetMGM on 30%, DraftKings on 25%, FanDuel on 22%, BetRivers on 18% and Hard Rock Bet on 5%. If you only bet one book, you take its worst numbers right along with its best ones. That’s why reviewing anytime TD odds across platforms is so useful.
What Shopping Actually Did
Say you put $100 on every one of those 720 scorers. More importantly, imagine you tracked your anytime TD odds and maximised your best price in each case.
At the worst price available, you lost about $19 per bet. The average price cost you about $13. Shopping for the best number cut that to about $8.
Shopping did not make the market profitable. Nothing on this list was. What it did was cut the bleed by more than half. Over a season of Sunday scorer bets, that is the difference between an expensive habit and a manageable one. Faced with anytime TD odds every week, smart shopping makes all the difference.
How to Bet Anytime TDs in Week 8
Week 8 kicks off Thursday night with the Panthers at the Packers. Before you fire on a scorer, run this checklist to get the most out of your anytime TD odds:
- Check the price at every book you have. The gap is real money, and it shows up on nearly every player.
- Turn the odds into a percentage. +200 means the player has to score a third of the time just for you to break even. Ask yourself if he really does.
- Be pickiest on the short favorites. That is where the price ran furthest ahead of reality.
- Track your results. If your scorer bets are not beating the number over a month, the record is telling you something.
Where LFG Fits
LFG Sports AI puts the same prop at every sportsbook you use side by side and flags the best number, so you are not flipping between five apps on Sunday morning. Sync your books and every slip lands in one feed, which means you see your real scorer record instead of the one you remember. We found the same pattern across every major NFL prop market we checked. For most users, anytime TD odds highlight the impact of shopping more clearly than any other market.
Download LFG Sports AI free on the App Store or Google Play.
How we counted: the last price each book posted within 24 hours of kickoff, Weeks 1 to 7 of the 2026 season. Players who did not play are left out, since books void those bets. Touchdowns are rushing plus receiving; return and defensive scores are not counted, and they are rare. If you’re interested in more context on anytime TD odds, review how each pricing method was tracked in the study above.
LFG Sports AI is a tracking and analytics tool. It does not accept bets or guarantee outcomes. Please bet responsibly.
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